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…if your principles are solid, you can approach any opportunity with confidence.

…many people are overconfident, prone to place too much faith in their intuitions. They apparently find cognitive effort at least mildly unpleasant and avoid it as much as possible.

Considering how little we know, the confidence we have in our beliefs is preposterous – and it is also essential.

…high subjective confidence is not to be trusted as an indicator of accuracy (low confidence could be more informative).

The unrecognized limits of professional skill help explain why experts are often overconfident.

We… tend to exaggerate our ability to forecast the future, which fosters optimistic overconfidence.

Organizations that take the word of overconfident experts can expect costly consequences.

We need to feel a certain level of confidence in a product and its value, which comes only from hard evidence, not from TV commercials or word of mouth.

…by being data-driven we remove the emotions and overconfidence about making decisions that can sometimes cloud our judgment.

…good managers know it’s impressive when people are confident enough to be candid. Self-awareness is compelling.