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|
Range:
Lateral thinking… the reimagining of information in new contexts, including the drawing together of seemingly disparate concepts or domains that can give old ideas new uses.
|
193 |
|
|
Range:
Specialization is obvious: keep going straight. Breadth is trickier to grow.
|
206 |
|
|
Range:
Seeding the soil for generalists and polymaths who integrate knowledge takes more than money. It takes opportunity.
|
206 |
|
|
Range:
Facing uncertain environments and wicked problems, breadth of experience is invaluable.
|
213 |
|
|
Range:
The best forecasters view their own ideas as hypotheses in need of testing.
|
227 |
|
|
Range:
The aversion to contrary ideas is not a simple artifact of stupidity or ignorance.
|
227 |
|
|
Range:
The best forecasters are high in active open-mindedness.
|
228 |
|
|
Range:
In wicked domains that lack automatic feedback, experience alone does not improve performance. Effective habits of mind are more important, and they can be developed.
|
230 |
|
|
Range:
…forecasters can improve by generating a list of separate events with deep structural similarities, rather than focusing only on internal details of the specific event in question.
|
230 |
|
|
Range:
Starting with the details – the inside view – is dangerous.
|
230 |
